Significant increase in genomic Replikin Count of human SARS virus

Published on October 6, 2012 at 9:03 AM · No Comments

The identification of the virus responsible for a second case of SARS-like respiratory virus, "London1_novel CoV 2012", has raised concerns over the risk of the disease spreading. These concerns may be justified given the observed rise in virus's genomic Replikin™ Count.

An analysis of the current virus's genomic Replikin Count by Bioradar UK Ltd has revealed the Count to be increased significantly above the preceding low 'resting' levels 2004-2011. The Count is now in the same elevated range found in 2002 before the 2003 SARS outbreak. That is, currently, the Replikin Counts in several genomic areas of "human betacoronavirus 2c EMC/2012" are 2.6, 3.5, 3.9 and 8.5.

The Figure shows that the previous low Counts between 1995 and 2001 preceded the three-fold increase in 2002 to a mean of 4.5 (+/-3), which was followed in 2003 by a SARS outbreak with 8,000 cases and 774 deaths.

While two sporadic current human SARS-like cases with high Replikin Counts 'do not an outbreak make,' elevated genomic Replikin Counts of H1N1 observed in only two sporadic cases reported on Pubmed from Mexico in each of 2003, 2006, 2007 and 2008, presaged the onset in Mexico of the H1N1 Pandemic of 2009.

The established pattern of genomic Replikin Counts increasing to high levels, accompanied by sporadic lethal human cases, followed by an outbreak of rapidly replicating spreading lethal human disease, was also found in six other correct predictions in influenza made one to two years in advance. The geographic locations of these outbreaks were also specified, as in lethal outbreaks of H5N1 in 2006-2007 in Indonesia, and currently in Cambodia. Similarly, the highest Replikin Counts in Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) virus in 52 years predicted the current outbreaks of FMD in Asia and the Middle East one year in advance.

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