Forecasting News and Research

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Comparing Google AI and human intelligence for the forecasting of COVID-19

Junko Kurita et al. from Japan have compared Google AI forecasting with a statistical model by human intelligence and recently presented it in a preprint medRxiv* paper.

22 Dec 2020

Cardiovascular risk due to COVID-19-related unemployment 4-6 times higher among Maoris vs. non-Maoris in NZ

A new study uses a life-table model to predict and estimate the loss of health, healthcare costs to society, and inequities in healthcare in New Zealand.

21 Dec 2020

Researchers develop a technique to predict epileptic seizures

A third of epilepsy sufferers are resistant to treatment for this neurological disease that affects 1% of the population.

18 Dec 2020

Researchers develop new online calculator for estimating mortality risk from COVID-19

A new online calculator for estimating individual and community-level risk of dying from COVID-19 has been developed by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

11 Dec 2020

COVID-19 cases likely to increase to 20 million in the U.S. by end of January 2021

President-elect Joe Biden has signaled that fighting the COVID-19 pandemic will be an immediate priority for his administration. He recently announced a coronavirus advisory board of infectious disease researchers and former public health advisers along with an updated strategy that will include increases in testing and contact tracing, as well as transparent communication.

23 Nov 2020

Multi-model forecasts could help inform management of COVID-19 pandemic

A team of researchers from various institutions in the UK has reviewed multi-model forecasts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic made between the end of March and mid-July 2020.

16 Nov 2020

Orange County struggles with health equity — and battles state restrictions

California's most popular amusement park has become the focal point of a struggle over how best to contain COVID-19 while keeping the economy afloat.

10 Nov 2020

New AI-powered forecasting tool makes prediction of flu outbreaks easier

Predicting influenza outbreaks just got a little easier, thanks to a new A.I.-powered forecasting tool developed by researchers at Stevens Institute of Technology.

2 Nov 2020

Researchers develop infectious disease model for forecasting elections

Forecasting elections is a high-stakes problem. Politicians and voters alike are often desperate to know the outcome of a close race, but providing them with incomplete or inaccurate predictions can be misleading.

29 Oct 2020

Researchers investigate how brain signaling gives rise to decision-making

Increasingly, biologists are turning to computational modeling to make sense of complex systems. In neuroscience, researchers are adapting the kinds of algorithms used to forecast the weather or filter spam from your email to seek insight into how the brain's neural networks process information.

27 Oct 2020

Researchers propose using complexity science to respond better to the COVID-19 pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic has fundamentally disrupted U.S. healthcare organizations. Hospitals have faced drug and device shortages and created new ICUs overnight. Care plans have evolved out of necessity, and hospitals' carefully constructed patient flow systems were up-ended.

23 Oct 2020

Novel method can predict influenza epidemics

Researchers at Linköping University, Sweden, have developed a unique method to predict influenza epidemics by combining several sources of data.

16 Oct 2020

Combining genetic and experimental data can enable more accurate prediction of influenza virus

Combining genetic and experimental data into models about the influenza virus can help predict more accurately which strains will be most common during the next winter, says a study published recently in eLife.

14 Oct 2020

Universal facemask use could prevent hundreds of thousands of COVID-19 deaths

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) COVID-19 Forecasting team has advised that universal mask-wearing during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic could save hundreds of thousands of lives and delay the need for mitigation measures such as stay-at-home policies.

12 Oct 2020

Investment in PPE for health care workers saves lives, provides substantial economic return

Providing adequate personal protective equipment (PPE) for all health care workers around the world requires an initial investment of billions of dollars, but the returns on that investment could be close to 8000% in productivity gains, according to a new study published this week in the open-access journal PLOS ONE by Nicholas Risko of the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine and colleagues.

9 Oct 2020

Mologic launches its first crop pathogen diagnostic test

Mologic Ltd, a leading developer of lateral flow and rapid diagnostic technologies, today announced the launch of its first crop pathogen diagnostic test, BotrytisAlert.

9 Oct 2020

New aerosol field data can help improve global climate models

Smoke from the many wildfires burning in the West have made air quality hazardous for millions of people in the United States. And it is the very tiniest of the aerosol particles in that air that make it particularly harmful to human health. But for decades, we haven't known how long these particles actually stay aloft.

7 Oct 2020

Tufts University to lead $100 million program to address threats posed by zoonotic viral diseases

Tufts University will lead a $100 million, five-year program to understand and address threats posed by zoonotic viral diseases that can "spill over" from animals to humans, such as SARS-CoV-2, in an effort to reduce risk of infection, amplification, and spread, the United States Agency for International Development announced today.

30 Sep 2020

Intra-CREATE grants awarded to support research on personalized medicine and cell therapy

Researchers from Critical Analytics for Manufacturing Personalized-Medicine, an interdisciplinary research group at Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology, MIT's research enterprise in Singapore, have been awarded Intra-CREATE grants from the National Research Foundation Singapore to help support research on retinal biometrics for glaucoma progression and neural cell implantation therapy for spinal cord injuries.

22 Sep 2020

Machine learning system can predict bipolar disorder 4 years before it manifests in young people

An international team of doctors have developed a machine learning system which can predict the development of Bipolar Disorder up to 4 years before onset in young people: at age 18 it was able to predict which individuals would develop the condition at age 22.

15 Sep 2020