Traditional lipid risk factors to be strong predictors of cardiovascular events according to a study

For patients with established heart disease who were treated with a statin, 18 novel biomarkers including C-reactive protein (CRP) did not predict future cardiovascular events such as heart attack and stroke, according to results of an analysis presented today at the 2009 European Society of Cardiology Congress in Barcelona, Spain. By contrast, traditional lipid risk factors were strong predictors of cardiovascular events. The findings are based on a new post hoc sub-analysis of patients treated with Lipitor® (atorvastatin calcium) in the five-year Treating to New Targets (TNT) study.

These results follow on the heels of findings published recently in the Journal of the American Medical Association suggesting that novel biomarkers such as CRP provided minimal additional value beyond conventional risk factors for assessing cardiovascular risk. “For patients with stable coronary disease who were already on statin therapy, novel biomarkers do not appear to add predictive value over traditional lipid markers such as LDL cholesterol,” said Dr. John LaRosa, president and professor of medicine at the State University of New York Downstate Medical Center in Brooklyn, NY, and chair of the TNT steering committee. “Today’s analysis adds to the body of evidence that ‘traditional’ risk factors, including elevated blood cholesterol and blood pressure, as well as cigarette smoking, remain the highest priority targets for reducing cardiovascular risk. Drugs such as atorvastatin, used in this study, have demonstrated effectiveness in accomplishing this goal.”

To determine whether levels of biomarkers or lipids after an eight-week run-in period on Lipitor 10 mg were predictive of an increased risk for future cardiovascular events, a nested case-control analysis of the TNT trial was performed. Patients included in the TNT trial had coronary heart disease and were treated with Lipitor. For the analysis, data for 507 patients who experienced a primary event (defined as cardiac death, heart attack, stroke or resuscitated cardiac arrest) were compared with data for 1020 patients who did not experience events.

The 18 novel biomarkers were not predictive of risk for future cardiovascular events in patients with stable coronary heart disease already on statin therapy. Higher levels of LDL cholesterol and triglycerides and lower levels of HDL cholesterol, however, were each strongly and significantly predictive of risk for future events.


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